过去一年里，太阳能价格暴跌超出预期，让人探究它的价格究竟能走到多低？国际可再生能源机构(IRENA)现在给出了答案：在10年内将低于目前的60%。
IRENA总干事Adnan Z. Amin在新公布的一份报告中预测，明年全球的装机容量将达80-90GW，且在未来的五到六年内将保持这样的增长速度。
Amin表示，90GW并非遥不可及，“单单中国一年就可以做到50 GW”，而在未来十年，“公用事业规模太阳能的成本可能下降60%或更多。”
IRENA这一数字的计算根据是太阳能技术，特别是薄膜，将带动光伏行业的预期。目前，此类柔性应用非常昂贵。Amin还强调，电池成本60%-70%的下降，也将在未来十年中刺激太阳能的增长。
针对美国的201条例，Amin表示，用惩罚性关税保护一个行业并非明智之举，认为价格上涨可能会限制部署，而“从长远来看，你想降低能源成本，而不是抬高价格。”
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