2017即将结束之际,《光伏杂志》与 IHS Markit的资深太阳能分析师Cormac Gilligan共同探讨了2018年全球逆变器市场状况,并总结出影响逆变器市场格局的六大趋势。
- 中国将继续主宰逆变器市场。 明年中国的逆变器出货量将达104吉瓦,占据全球市场的半壁江山。华为、阳光电源、特变电工、正泰、上能和科士达将继续领先。而住宅市场也将迅速崛起,其中的佼佼者为固德威、锦浪、古瑞瓦特和上海兆能。
- 印度市场机会众多,但需考虑规模。印度正在紧随中国的脚步,给众多的国际性公司带来了机会。华为、ABB、SMA、TMEIC 和阳光电源是这一市场的领先者。而本土领先公司Su-Kam也会获得不少机会。
- 规模固然重要,但敏捷却是关键。尽管逆变器市场有不少大佬,但小公司提供利基服务并进入一些特定市场的机会比比皆是。公司和产量规模必须伴随着敏捷性和灵活性才会更有生命力。
- MLPE市场变得更艰难,发展性策略出现。由于华为在全球范围内加速布局其功率优化解决方案,2018年对MLPE的其他参与者而言变得更为艰难。他们必须加速与逆变器和组件供应商合作才能获得生存机会。
- 模块化设计使中央逆变器解决方案具有吸引力。模块化中央逆变器在2018年将继续稳步增长,这对特变电工和Fimer等公司是利好消息。
- 谨防零部件短缺。由于电动汽车和智能手机等产业的需求强劲,整个半导体行业均出现零部件短缺的现象。要提防此类短缺影响到逆变器市场。
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