Sandbag智库报告称,随着欧盟碳排放交易计划(Emissions Trading Scheme)中所规定的碳价格不断上涨——以及化石燃料成本的上升——可再生能源前所未有地展现出其经济价值。而分析师们预测,这种趋势并非昙花一现。欧洲太阳能的短期价格低于煤炭或天然气。
数据显示,欧盟煤炭的收盘价已从20.42欧元/吨(23.72美元),升至上周五的20.55欧元。而德国近期风能和太阳能光伏拍卖中,拍出了38欧元/兆瓦时的价格。碳价与原料燃料价格相加,使煤炭的前期发电成本达到了46欧元/兆瓦时,而“过渡性”燃料煤气为49欧元/兆瓦时。
Sandbag报告还指出,这些化石燃料发电成本其实是被低估了,因为它们没有考虑进如运输成本、运营和维护、投资成本、废物处理和防污措施等这些变量。
《每日电讯报》也报道称,许多天然气批发商正向价格较高的东亚地区发货,引发了对欧洲供应的担忧——因为今年年初的寒冷天气造成了欧洲天然气储量的枯竭。
Sandbag分析师预计,欧盟的煤炭价格至今年底将达到25欧元/吨,明年将达35欧元。
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