法国电网运营商Réseau de Transport d’Électricité (RTE) 的一份最新报告显示,如果法国能于2050年实现能源系统和经济完全脱碳的目标,那么国内太阳能装机容量将达到70GW至208GW。
该报告还收录了RTE在1月份发起的一项调查结果,该调查收到了来自机构、团体和个人的4000多份答复。报告提出了2050年实现碳中和的六种设想方案。但是,RTE分析人员表示,无论何种方案,都需要考虑降低预期能源消耗,增加电力和可再生能源的使用率。此外,分析人员还考虑了电力消耗、核能未来发展以及绿色氢的应用等其他因素。
报告提出的六种方案中,有三种方案将该国的能源系统描述为100%依赖于可再生能源,而核能将于2050年或最迟于2060年完全退役。相比之下,另外三种方案则认为,核能将在能源结构中,继续发挥关键作用,只是在新核能项目的投资水平上有所差异。
在这六种方案中,光伏发电份额将增加7至21倍,到2050年,累计光伏装机容量将达到7 GW至208GW。 法国生态转型部最新数据显示,法国累计光伏装机总量已达11.5GW,但与国家能源战略规定的到2030年实现总装机量20GW的目标相比,仍有很大差距。
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