ICRA预测印度可再生能源容量新增将出现回弹,相比2023年的15GW,2024年预期将新增20GW,其中包括16GW太阳能,2GW风能和2GW混合发电项目。
据ICRA消息,电力部将太阳能和混合发电项目延期到2024年3月,以及ALMM要求的放宽,和最近对太阳能光伏电池和组件价格的磋商预期都将推动今年容量的增长。
ICRA副总裁兼企业评级部门领导Vikram V表示,由于组件价格上涨,ALMM挑战以及进口组件关税的提升,2023年太阳能行业招标活动有所减少。但同时也可以看到近期可再生能源容量的增长,需要招标活动以满足可再生能源采购(RPO)目标。
尽管存在执行风险和输入成本压力,ICRA对可再生能源行业仍保持“稳定”展望,主要是由于强有力的政策支持、有利的需求前景和具有竞争力的关税。太阳能行业也得益于逾期付款附加费计划下印度国有配电公司(DISCOMS)超期支付和定期账单支付的实现。 根据JMK Research消息,印度预测2023年将新增16.8GW装机光伏容量,包含约14GW公用规模项目和2.8GW屋顶项目。2022年,印度安装了11.4GW公用规模太阳能容量和1.9GW屋顶光伏,总计13.3GW。截至2022年12月31日,印度累计公用规模太阳能容量为约53.6GW,还有44.6GW在建设中。
作者:UMA GUPTA
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